By V.F. via TheChicagoEconomist.com
March 17, 2020 - I’m beginning to believe the current “pandemic” is perhaps just the latest contrived “enemy of the state”. An opportunity taken by Western governments that have, over the past 20 or 30 years, gotten bolder in their willingness to fabricate fear to secure a political end. Political ends are always about greater control, corruption, and ultimately, cover-ups.
In the age where air has become second to digital noise in terms of ubiquity, and hyperbole has replaced truth as the journalistic objective, governments’ abilities to leverage misinformation (i.e. propaganda) has become a precision tool. Like it or not, society has become confused by the amount of information thrown at us and that makes us susceptible.
But if this is contrived political hysteria, what is the objective?
I’ve heard people on either side of the aisle suggest it is to help or hurt Trump. Perhaps it is that simple. However, given equally good points on both sides of that argument I am skeptical. So then what? Well, I think back to 9/11 and whether you believe it was an act of terrorism by our own government or some other group, the end result was the same - The USA PATRIOT Act, and a truckload of knock-on legislation that quietly edged out our individual rights and freedoms; all in the name of keeping us safe from harm.
Ok, but do we see any of that happening as a result of this current narrative? Of course. Right now a bill is making its way through Congress that most legislators have admittedly not read but are ready to approve. Perhaps the most glaring action is the $5 trillion financial bailout that took place over the weekend. This is by far the biggest financial industry bailout ever to take place, at least on this planet. Most Amerikans have no idea a bailout is taking place and those that do will never come to know that the bailout began in early September. On September 2, the Federal Reserve began its second epic “bank bailout”. That is, it has nothing to do with the virus.
It isn’t just banks but the entire sport of speculation that require a bailout. The leverage inherent in the sport of speculation, across all asset classes, has created an aggregate risk position so large there is no longer enough cash to cover the margin call.
This is where we’ve run into trouble. In 2008, we had levered specific collateral instruments up using nonsensical economics. At the time I was studying financial engineering at Chicago Booth. I graduated in December 2008, after spending 2 years studying the models that were proving, in real time, to be absolutely wrong and creating massive pain for the bottom half of the economic food chain. To crawl out of that mess we printed trillions of dollars to bail out the large risk positions that had earlier created immense wealth for those on the top of the economic food chain.
This past weekend, once again the Fed announced a $5 trillion bailout and it went completely unnoticed by the public because we are distracted by a “world ending virus”. The largest financial bailout in the history of the world and nobody knows it happened because the focus is on a virus that to date has resulted in 50 deaths in Amerika (at the same time 8,000 deaths have resulted from the flu in Amerika).
I am constantly having Italy being thrown at me as evidence that the virus is going to wipe out humanity. So I decided to look into Italy specifically. What I found is that each year Italy has about 16,000 flu related deaths. That’s a little over 2,000 flu related deaths each month of the 7-month flu season. Now here are Italy’s Covid figures.
The new cases are in decline and the total death count in the 2 months since the outbreak began there is at 2158, so about 1,000 per month (half that of the flu during the same period); and Italy is the worst case scenario in terms of mortality rate (fatality to recorded infections - yes this is a less than ideal statistic in terms of meaningfulness). For instance, Germany has an incredibly low mortality rate.
Let me be clear: I’m not saying we shouldn’t take this seriously. My point is whether or not the severe response from Western governments is a reasonable response given the threat.
In 2009, the Swine Flu hit Amerika’s shores. Let’s look at the spread and mortality figures of the Swine Flu outbreak that went almost unnoticed by the public and media. In fact, I had no idea Swine Flu hit our shores until the writing of this article.
59 million Amerikans contracted Swine Flu, 265,000 were hospitalized, and 12,000 died from the 2009/2010 outbreak. Yet the public noise over that outbreak was so muted that I don’t even remember that it even took place. Today, we have Covid, and in 2 months it has infected 4,600 Amerikans and 85 have succumbed to the virus.
If I were to show these figures to an alien and ask him to identify which scenario resulted in a lockdown of society, which do you suspect he’d choose? Exactly. 100% pointed to Swine Flu.